White House race

Joe Biden has a big lead in the polls and is 1.5 to be the next president on the Betfair betting exchange. Trump is 2.98.
Biden is generally 4-9 with British bookmakers, Trump is priced at 7-4.
In America, Biden is slightly shorter odds at -227 and Trump a little bigger at +180. *These were the odds and prices as of 24th October and they are subject to market fluctuations.
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Here are my personal thoughts and opinions about the state of the 2020 race for the White House with 11 days to go to election day (Nov 3rd).
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With the exception of some of the Fox News presenters, the American TV networks are vehemently anti-Trump.
Biden has raised twice as much as his opponent in campaign donations and that money is being spent on flooding the airways with adverts.
The pandemic has hit the US really hard with deaths approaching a quarter of a million and millions of jobs lost.
However, despite all these positives for Biden, I can’t see him winning on Nov 3rd, unless the election is rigged.
The enthusiasm among Trump supporters is off the scale, while Biden struggles to attract more than one man and his dog to his rallies.
Biden’s record in 47 years in politics is horrendous and he and his family are immersed in a huge corruption scandal.
He’s run twice before for president and was forced to drop out both times. The 1st time for plagiarising a Neil Kinnock speech, the 2nd for attracting just 1% of the votes in a primary.
Biden is a proven liar and his lies are huge and easy to demonstrate.
He’s clearly in mental decline and will be celebrating his 78th birthday on November 20th. He would be president in name only and it’s highly likely he would be forced to step down at some point in favour of his VP Kamala Harris.
Harris appeared to be the DNC’s preferred candidate at the start of the primaries, but she had to drop out as there was so little support on the ground for her and she came across as entitled. Harris has also indicated she sees herself as the head of the ticket by saying, “A Harris Biden administration will….” Her husband also describes himself as married to the next president of the US.
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Despite his obvious flaws, Trump’s actual record is excellent. The economy was buzzing before Covid. He hasn’t started any new wars while managing to get rid of ISIS.
Trump has already been nominated 3 times for the Nobel Peace Prize and may get another nomination for the Sudan Israel deal.
My gut feeling is that Trump will do at least as well as he did in 2016 and possibly a lot better. His base is solid and there are some very encouraging poll numbers for him among Black people and Hispanics.
But, as I said earlier, the election could be rigged. The arrangements for mail-in voting, which has been huge because of the virus, are open to enormous amounts of fraud, and counting the mail-in ballots will go on for some time after election day.
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Unless one candidate gets a truly massive landslide on November 3rd, the winner will not be officially declared for weeks and there are bound to be all sorts of legal challenges.
The stakes couldn’t be higher and anything could happen.
Civil unrest is guaranteed no matter who wins.
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There will be plenty ready to cheer if America descends into chaos. But I believe, we should all pray for cool heads to prevail as the whole world will suffer if the US goes down the plughole.

Whose colluding with the Labour Party?

Despite wrecking the country’s economy the last time they were in power and their current leaders’ Marxist ideologies and history of sympathizing with terrorists, the Labour party are the bookmakers’ favourites to win the most seats at the next UK general election.

How has this happened? The answer, at least in part, is that Labour has hitched its wagon to the phenomena of “populism”.
Donald Trump’s victory in the US presidential election, the UK’s referendum in favour of Brexit and Marine Le Pen making it through to the final round of the French presidential election have all been credited to “populism”.
While Labour have embraced social media, the Tories have been slow to recognise the importance of Twitter, Facebook and Instagram and how information is shared in the age of smart phones and high-speed broadband.
The left has developed a clear and coordinated Social Media strategy. This allowed them to dominated the medium and engage with younger voters in particular.
The Tories mainly stuck to their old media habits in June’s general election and paid a hefty price.

Labour has been very effective in stimulating class envy and a readiness to blame the rich for not paying enough taxes. Class and money have always been Labour rallying cries but the party’s lurch to the Left in the  last couple of years have seen these old staples dusted off, polished and pushed with extra vigour.
Former leader Ed Millibands’ decision to allow people to join the Labour Party for just £3 and have a vote in who becomes leader resulted in a huge increase in membership. Many of the new members were in the important 18 to 24-year-old category.

Labour have become adept at taking advantage of current events. Major party figures including Jeremy Corbyn and John McDonnell have been turning up for photo and virtue signaling opportunities after tragedies such as the Grenfell Tower fire.
Corbyn and McDonnell made speeches at the Glastonbury Festival. Politicians hijacking pop concerts is a fairly new phenomena in the UK.
Labour party activists and supporters have been leading chants of “Jeremy “Corbyn”  and “F*** the Tories” at other public events, including the Wimbledon Tennis Championships.
If Labour regain power they have promised to end austerity and introduce a tax and spend programme. This will include writing off student loans. A move which, understandably, is very popular with the 40% of young people who go on to higher education these days, never mind those who have been through the system and are paying off old loans.

There has been plenty of turmoil among Labour MPs and many of them were convinced Jeremy Corbyn was the wrong guy to lead the party and he would not survive. However, following a surprisingly strong Labour performance in the general election in June and the rapid rise of his approval ratings in contrast to Conservative prime minister Theresa May’s plummeting figures , Corbyn is more secure in his position now than at any time since he became Labour’s leader.

So now we have come up with arguments which may help explain Labour’s surge in popularity, the next question to ask is why this sudden change for the better in the party’s fortunes has happened in a relatively short space of time?

The Momentum group is Corbyn’s power base and it has sustained him when his leadership has been questioned.
Their old-fashion socialist politics may not be palatable to many in the party but Momentum members appear to be focused, fully committed and, rather unusually for a political group on the left, well organised.

Just having a loyal grass-roots backing group and going down the “populism” route are not enough to have brought about Labour’s metamorphosis from a chaotic party in steep decline into a vibrant, confident and powerful movement with a realistic chance of forming the next government.
What else could be behind Labour’s resurgence?
Is someone or some entity guiding Labour’s hand?
Whose behind the transformation from political outsiders to bookies’ favourites.
For the answers to these questions it’s worth looking across the Atlantic at Donald Trump’s stunning victory in the American presidential election last November for a clue.

Despite no demonstrable evidence, the Democrats and their friends in the main-stream media in the US have insisted Trump’s victory was down to the Republican candidate’s campaign team colluding with Russia and that the Kremlin under Vladimir Putin’s direction “hacked” the US election to prevent Hillary Clinton becoming president.
These claims simply aren’t creditable. If the Russians were going to back anyone it would have been Clinton as they have far more in common with the Democrats than the Republicans and, given her and her husband Bill’s many scandals, Putin is likely to have far more “leverage” over Hillary Clinton than he has over Donald Trump.

Could Russia be colluding with the Labour Party?
The Russians have close historical ties to Labour.
Jeremy Corbyn has frequently attacked Donald Trump and there will be no special relationship with America if he becomes prime minister.
Jeremy Corbyn has stated he would never launch a Polaris missile if he had his finger on the nuclear trigger.
Both Jeremy Corbyn and Labour’s number 2, John McDonnell, are strong socialists and fans of Karl Marx’s writings.
It’s not difficult to believe Vladimir Putin would be quite happy to see Labour form the next UK government.
In those circumstances it’s not difficult either to believe the Russians may be supporting the Labour Party with resources and strategic advice to help propel Jeremy Corbyn to Number 10 Downing Street.

By any means necessary

On the 9th November 2016 the Democratic Party of America received a massive blow when Donald J Trump beat Hillary R Clinton to become the 45th President of the USA.
The Democrats were confident Clinton would not just see off the challenge of Trump but were looking forward to their candidate winning by a landslide.
When Clinton lost the shock was so severe the Democrats and many of their supporters refused to accept Trump was a legitimate victor and convinced themselves they would be justified in doing whatever it took, including assassination, to stop Trump being President.
Senior Democrats Maxine Waters and Al Green have led campaigns to have Trump impeached.
Left-wing politicians, commentators and academics have likened Trump to Hitler and have encouraged violent street protests and called for his assassination.
The vast majority of the main-stream media have been fiercely critical of Trump.
For instance 93% of CNN’s coverage of Trump has been unfavourable and The New York Times 87% unfavourable.
Story after story about the President has been spun to paint him in a negative light. Many of these stories have proven to be fabricated or totally false. But even when they have been shown to be untrue they are often repeated.
There have been a series of stunts depicting the death of the President. Comedienne Kathy Griffin held up a severed bloody Trump head in an ISIS style video photo shoot. A Trump look alike was violently knifed to death on stage in a play in New York’s Central Park.

Now, over 6 months after the election, the Democrats and their hysterical supporters are still suffering from PTSS and are continuing their relentless campaigns to have Trump removed from office by any means necessary.

If the Democrats succeed in removing Trump from the White House, the fallout has the potential to destabilize the US and to undermine democracy worldwide.
If Trump goes the Democrats lust for blood will be even stronger and they will turn their attention to his successor, Vice President Mike Pence.
The hard left in America would feel emboldened by Trump’s removal and would increase their efforts to ferment a violent revolution.
American conservatives, many of whom are heavily armed, would be ready to defend the constitution.

A second American Civil War is a genuine possibility if Trump is toppled.
Democracy itself would be under threat. If America descends into civil war what price democracy in the rest of the world?
When the mob believes it can grab power by staging violent protests when it doesn’t agree with the result of an election, it will unleash hell on earth.

These truly are dangerous times.