Joe Biden has a big lead in the polls and is 1.5 to be the next president on the Betfair betting exchange. Trump is 2.98.Biden is generally 4-9 with British bookmakers, Trump is priced at 7-4.
In America, Biden is slightly shorter odds at -227 and Trump a little bigger at +180. *These were the odds and prices as of 24th October and they are subject to market fluctuations.
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Here are my personal thoughts and opinions about the state of the 2020 race for the White House with 11 days to go to election day (Nov 3rd).
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With the exception of some of the Fox News presenters, the American TV networks are vehemently anti-Trump.
Biden has raised twice as much as his opponent in campaign donations and that money is being spent on flooding the airways with adverts.
The pandemic has hit the US really hard with deaths approaching a quarter of a million and millions of jobs lost.
However, despite all these positives for Biden, I can’t see him winning on Nov 3rd, unless the election is rigged.
The enthusiasm among Trump supporters is off the scale, while Biden struggles to attract more than one man and his dog to his rallies.
Biden’s record in 47 years in politics is horrendous and he and his family are immersed in a huge corruption scandal.
He’s run twice before for president and was forced to drop out both times. The 1st time for plagiarising a Neil Kinnock speech, the 2nd for attracting just 1% of the votes in a primary.
Biden is a proven liar and his lies are huge and easy to demonstrate.
He’s clearly in mental decline and will be celebrating his 78th birthday on November 20th. He would be president in name only and it’s highly likely he would be forced to step down at some point in favour of his VP Kamala Harris.
Harris appeared to be the DNC’s preferred candidate at the start of the primaries, but she had to drop out as there was so little support on the ground for her and she came across as entitled. Harris has also indicated she sees herself as the head of the ticket by saying, “A Harris Biden administration will….” Her husband also describes himself as married to the next president of the US.
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Despite his obvious flaws, Trump’s actual record is excellent. The economy was buzzing before Covid. He hasn’t started any new wars while managing to get rid of ISIS.
Trump has already been nominated 3 times for the Nobel Peace Prize and may get another nomination for the Sudan Israel deal.
My gut feeling is that Trump will do at least as well as he did in 2016 and possibly a lot better. His base is solid and there are some very encouraging poll numbers for him among Black people and Hispanics.
But, as I said earlier, the election could be rigged. The arrangements for mail-in voting, which has been huge because of the virus, are open to enormous amounts of fraud, and counting the mail-in ballots will go on for some time after election day.
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Unless one candidate gets a truly massive landslide on November 3rd, the winner will not be officially declared for weeks and there are bound to be all sorts of legal challenges.
The stakes couldn’t be higher and anything could happen.
Civil unrest is guaranteed no matter who wins.
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There will be plenty ready to cheer if America descends into chaos. But I believe, we should all pray for cool heads to prevail as the whole world will suffer if the US goes down the plughole.
